The exclusive C-Voter exit poll for Karnataka telecast on ABP News had indicated that the Congress is very close to a simple majority. The exit poll had also indicated that the Congress would cross the majority mark if it wins the marginal seats where the fight is so close that the vote share gap hovers around the 3 petr cent mark between the rival contestants, mostly the BJP.
However, the same set of respondents reflected very different voting intentions when asked about the 2024 Lok Sabha polls. As per the respondents, in the 2024 Lok Sabha polls, the BJP is projected to get a vote share of 46 per cent, up 8 per cent from the exit poll vote share for the Assembly elections.
Simultaneously, the Congress is projected to get a vote share of 35 per cent, down 7 per cent from the exit poll numbers for the Assembly elections. The JD(S) vote share is projected to be 12 per cent, down 3 per cent from the latest Assembly polls.
The big lead in vote share means the BJP is projected to win between 20 and 22 seats out of the total 28 Lok Sabha seats on offer in Karnataka. While that is lower than the 26 it had won in the 2019 elections, analysts consider it to be a significant indicator for the 2024 elections.
It has been observed since many years that voters have split preferences and intentions during national and state elections. For instance, about 58 per cent of respondents from Delhi had stated during the 2019 Lok Sabha opinion and exit polls that they will vote for the BJP. About 58 per cent of the same set of respondents had stated they will vote for AAP when Assembly elections were due.
This pattern has been observed in most major states of India, including Kerala that handed a massive victory to Congress-led UDF in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections and then gave a resounding victory to the CPM-led LDF in subsequent Assemble elections.
Drugs valued at Rs 6.13 crore seized in Mizoram, three held
The Crime Investigation Department (CID) of Mizoram Police in a major drug haul, have seized huge drugs worth over Rs 6.13 crore and arrested three people including a Myanmar national and a juvenile, officials said on Wednesday.
preparation meeting for Diwali mela at Tripurasundari temple held
A vibrant three-day Diwali fair and festival is set to light up Udaipur from October 31 to November 2. The decision was confirmed during a preparation meeting of the Diwali Mela and Utsav Committee held today at the Gomati District Administration Conference Hall.
Mukhyamantri Samipeshu bridges gap between government and people: CM
Chief Minister Prof. Dr. Manik Saha on Wednesday said that Mukhyamantri Samipeshu is effectively bridging the gap between the government and the people, addressing their grievances.
Three NE CMs welcome ‘One Nation, One Election’ plan
Chief Ministers of three BJP-ruled northeastern states - Assam, Arunachal Pradesh and Tripura - on Wednesday welcomed the Union Cabinet's approval to the ‘One Nation, One Election’ recommendation by a high-level committee headed by former President Ram Nath Kovind.
Dilip Ghosh slams TMC for Law and Order collapse, arrives Tripura for membership drive
Former West Bengal BJP President Dilip Ghosh has criticized the Trinamool Congress for its lack of control over the administration, leading to the deterioration of law and order in Bengal.
Dhalai, three Blocks in Tripura achieves 100 percent saturation in Sampoornata Abhiyan
Tripura’s Dhalai District and three Aspirational Blocks have reached 100 percent Saturation under Sampoornata Abhiyan. Sampoornata Abhiyan is a campaign launched by NITI Aayog to accelerate development in India's most underdeveloped regions.
Asish files FIR against BJP, Shiv Sena leaders for defaming Rahul Gandhi
The Congress leader has filed FIR against Shiv Sena MLA Sanjay Gaikwad, Ravneet Singh Bittu, Minister, Govt. of India, Tarvinder Singh, Ex- BJP MLA and Raghuraj Singh, Uttar Pradesh Minister.
CM inaugurates blood donation camp organized by Maharani Tulsibati Welfare Trust
Chief Minister Prof. Dr. Manik Saha on Wednesday said that due to the sincere efforts of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Northeast is now free from terrorist activities and peace has been restored.